Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs result and prediction

Our bet on Cincinnati Reds lost

Odds at pick time
2.742.65 after commission
P&L on $10
-$10.00
Our pick
Cincinnati Reds
Edge
+9.0%
Fair odds
2.43
Best price
2.742.65 after commission
Win chance
Model
41%
Market
38%

We made Cincinnati Reds the outsider at 41%, but the best price of 2.65 implied only 38%, an edge of 9.0%. How our picks work

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644 picks, +$977 at $10 a pick, by today's Elite rules on every past match

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What stands out

Chicago Cubs had 14 players on the injury list against 6 for Cincinnati Reds. Chicago Cubs won 4 of the last 5 meetings with Cincinnati Reds. Our fair odds were 2.43, so any price above 2.43 had value. Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs were both on a back-to-back

Key facts

Start time
Sat 29 Aug at 18:21 UTC
Competition
MLB
Weather
Overcast, 28°C, wind 15 km/h in Chicago

Signals that may move the price

Injury report

Per ESPN, as of Sat 29 Aug at 06:03 UTC

Cincinnati Reds
  • Michael Toglia10-Day-IL · Shoulder
  • Brandon Williamson60-Day-IL · Shoulder
  • Spencer Steer10-Day-IL · Wrist
  • Hunter Greene60-Day-IL · Elbow
  • Blake Dunn60-Day-IL · Elbow
  • Graham Ashcraft60-Day-IL · Elbow
Chicago Cubs
  • Justin Steele60-Day-IL · Elbow
  • Phil Maton60-Day-IL · Knee
  • Gavin Hollowell15-Day-IL · Shoulder
  • Ben Brown60-Day-IL · Neck
  • Riley Martin60-Day-IL · Elbow
  • Hunter Harvey60-Day-IL · Triceps
  • Matt Shaw10-Day-IL · Hand
  • Dansby Swanson10-Day-IL · Oblique
  • +6 more

Already in the price

Rest & travel

Per ESPN schedule

Cincinnati Reds
  • Last game1d ago · back-to-back
  • Games in 7 days6
  • Travel0 km
Chicago Cubs
  • Last game1d ago · back-to-back
  • Games in 7 days6
  • Travel0 km

Head to head

Last 5 meetings, from the ESPN schedule

Cincinnati Reds1–4Chicago Cubs
  • Sun 12 Jul at 17:40 UTCChicago Cubs 8–4 Cincinnati Reds
  • Sat 11 Jul at 23:10 UTCChicago Cubs 5–3 Cincinnati Reds
  • Fri 10 Jul at 23:10 UTCChicago Cubs 0–4 Cincinnati Reds
  • Thu 7 May at 18:20 UTCCincinnati Reds 3–8 Chicago Cubs
  • Wed 6 May at 23:40 UTCCincinnati Reds 6–7 Chicago Cubs

More picks today

Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs prediction FAQ

What was our pick in Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs?

We backed Cincinnati Reds at 41%, and the pick lost

What edge did our model see on Cincinnati Reds at 2.65?

An edge of 9.0% by the model, against fair odds of 2.43

General questions and methodology

See how baseball bets at these odds have paid off over the years in the Odds Explorer