Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Fils result and prediction

Our bet on Frances Tiafoe lost

Odds at pick time
3.40
P&L on $10
-$10.00
Our pick
Frances Tiafoe
Edge
+4.0%
Fair odds
3.27
Best price
3.40
Win chance
Model
31%
Market
29%

We made Frances Tiafoe the outsider at 31%, but the best price of 3.40 implied only 29%, an edge of 4.0%. How our picks work

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What stands out

The best price sat 5.9% above the line of a low-margin bookmaker and 3.0% above the next best price across 39 bookmakers. Our fair odds were 3.27, so any price above 3.27 had value

Key facts

Start time
Fri 2 Oct at 08:10 UTC
Competition
ATP Japan Open

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Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Fils prediction FAQ

What was our pick in Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Fils?

We backed Frances Tiafoe at 31%, and the pick lost

What were the best odds on Frances Tiafoe?

When we published the pick, the best price on Frances Tiafoe was 3.40 among 39 bookmakers

What edge did our model see on Frances Tiafoe at 3.40?

An edge of 4.0% by the model, against fair odds of 3.27

General questions and methodology

See how tennis bets at these odds have paid off over the years in the Odds Explorer